market reports

BIPV Glass Markets-2014 & Beyond

NanoMarkets latest report on BIPV glass analyzes future scenarios for BIPV.  It includes a detailed eight-year market forecast with breakouts by type of building and PV technology and in both volume and value terms.  We also discuss the BIPV glass strategies of leading glass and PV firms as well the community of firms whose core business is developing and installing BIPV glass.  

One possible road to a larger addressable market for BIPV glass will be to use solution-processed PV layers and here we note that both Pilkington and AGC are already actively involved in joint development projects that could do just that.  With this in mind, our report examines how the economics of BIPV glass will evolve based on c-Si, thin-film, and DSC/OPV materials

This report also discusses how BIPV glass can better be sold to architects, who are sometimes skeptical of the BIPV glass concept, but remain the key decision makers on the demand side. In part this is about improved marketing.  But as we discuss in this report, it is also a matter of playing up the aesthetic advantage of solar glass (for example with tinted and colored products) and by incorporating additional smart features such as hybrid light/photovoltaic capability.

This report is based around NanoMarkets ongoing program of publishing industry analyses of various segments of the BIPV market, an area in which we have been involved for five years.

Executive Summary   
E.1 Changes in Market Conditions for BIPV Glass since our Previous Report   
E.1.1 Impact of the Solar Revival   
E.1.2 Changing PV Material Mix   
E.1.3 Are the Big Glass and Panel Firms Still Interested in BIPV Glass?   
E.1.4 Current State of Green Building Sector as it Impacts BIPV Glass   
E.1.5 The Changing Supply Chain for BIPV Glass: Distribution and Retail   
E.2 Opportunity Analysis and Roadmap by Type of BIPV Glass Product   
E.2.1 Skylights   
E.2.2 Building Facades and Curtain Walls   
E.2.3 Atrium Glass, Canopies and Pergolas   
E.2.4 Windows   
E.3 Companies to Watch in the BIPV Glass Market   
E.4 Opportunity Analysis by Country/Region   
E.5 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts for BIPV Glass   

Chapter One: Introduction   
1.1 Background to this Report   
1.1.1 Cost Strategies for BIPV Glass:  Design and Technology Strategies   
1.1.2 Color and Lack of It as a Way to Differentiate BIPV Glass   
1.2 Objective and Scope of This Report   
1.3 Methodology of the Report   
1.4 Plan of this Report   

Chapter Two: BIPV Glass: Likely Technology and Product Evolution   
2.1 Why BIPV Glass Will Take Business from BAPV in the Coming Decade   
2.2 Factors on Which BIPV Glass Can Effectively Compete With BAPV   
2.2.1 Visually Aesthetic Solutions are Making BIPV Glass a More Attractive Solution   
2.2.2 BIPV Glass May Offer Lower Costs than BAPV in the Future   
2.2.3 Transparency of BIPV Needs to Improve for BIPV Glass to Take off Commercially   
2.2.4 Energy Conversion Efficiency an Issue with BIPV Glass   
2.3 Crystalline Silicon Products Will Dominate the BIPV Glass Market   
2.3.1 Transparent c-Si May Become Possible   
2.3.2 General Improvements in c-Si Technology will Help BIPV Glass, Too   
2.3.3 Limitations of Crystalline Silicon for Use in BIPV Glass   
2.4 Other Solar Materials Options for BIPV Glass:  A Future Beyond c-Si   
2.5 Current and Future use of CIGS in BIPV Glass   
2.5.1 Key CIGS Companies of Interest in the Context of BIPV Glass   
2.6 Current and Future use of CdTe in BIPV Glass   
2.6.1 Potential for Using CdTe in BIPV Glass   
2.7 Is there a Future for OPV and DSC in BIPV Glass?   
2.7.1 DSC and BIPV Glass   
2.7.2 OPV and BIPV Glass   
2.8 A Note on Amorphous Silicon   
2.9 Novel Research Directions for BIPV Glass:  Towards Monolithic Integration   
2.9.1 Stick-on TFPV   
2.9.2 Spray-on TFPV   
2.9.3 Laser Transfer Printing   
2.9.4  New Solar Materials   
2.10 BIPV Integrated Into Smart Glass   
2.11 Changes in the Supply Chain Remain Vital to the Success of BIPV Glass   
2.11.1 Value Creation at Local Suppliers and Integrators   
2.11.2 Further Thoughts on Onsite Integration   
2.12 Aesthetics, Architects and BIPV Glass   
2.13Notes on Retrofits   
2.14 Encapsulation Issues for BIPV glass   
2.15 Ongoing Challenges for BIPV Glass   
2.16 Key Points Made in this Chapter   

Chapter Three: Critical Markets for BIPV Glass   
3.1 Factors Impacting Status of BIPV Glass   
3.1.1 Cost Factors:  BIPV Glass is Still Costly   
3.1.2 BIPV Glass and Zero-Energy Buildings:  A Natural Fit?   
3.1.3 Design Considerations in Market Growth for BIPV Glass   
3.1.4 Testing Requirements and Lack of Standardization   
3.1.5 Need for Deeper Understanding of BIPV Glass in the Architectural and Other Communities   
3.2 Specialized BIPV Subsidies   
3.2.1 China   
3.2.2 United States   
3.2.3 Europe   
3.2.4 Japan   
3.3 BIPV Glass in Skylights, Facades, Atriums and Canopies   
3.3.1 BIPV Glass in Skylights   
3.3.2 BIPV Glass in Facades and Atria   
3.4 Prestige Commercial, Government and Multi-tenant Residential Buildings   
3.4.1 New Prestige Buildings Using BIPV Glass Built in 2013 and 2014   
3.4.2 What Do Recent Trends in Prestige Buildings Using BIPV Glass Show?   
3.5 BIPV Glass in Other Commercial and Government Buildings   
3.5.1 Why BIPV Glass is Being Used in Smaller Commercial and Government Buildings?   
3.5.2 What Needs to Happen to Boost BIPV Glass Penetration in Conventional Commercial Buildings   
3.6 BIPV Glass in Residential Buildings   
3.7 A Note on BIPV Glass in Industrial Buildings   
3.8 BIPV Glass Markets by Regions:   
3.8.1 USA   
3.8.2 Europe   
3.8.3 Japan   
3.8.4 China   
3.9 Key Points Made in the Chapter: 

Chapter Four: Eight-Year Forecasts of BIPV Glass   
4.1 Forecasting Methodology   
4.1.1 Impact of the Solar Bubble on the BIPV Market   
4.1.2 General Forecasting Framework   
4.1.3 Macroeconomic and Regulatory Assumptions   
4.1.4 Sources of Information   
4.1.5 Pricing and Other Assumptions   
4.2 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building   
4.2.1 Overall Addressable Market   
4.2.2 Overall Addressable Market for Building Glass   
4.2.3 Penetration of Building Glass Market by BIPV Glass   
4.3 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area and MW Shipped   
4.3.1 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped By Type of Buildings   
4.3.2 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped By Type of Buildings   
4.4 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Value ($ Millions)   
4.4.1 Pricing Forecasts for BIPV by Type of PV Material   
4.4.2 Eight-Year Forecasts by Type of Building   
4.5 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product   
4.5.1 Eight-Year Revenue Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product   
4.5.2 Eight-Year Area and MW Forecast by Type of Product   
4.6 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Solar Material   
4.7 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Country Region   
4.8 Alternative Scenarios   
4.8.1 Global or Regional Recessions   
4.8.2 Government Subsidies   
4.8.3 Technological Breakthroughs   
4.8.4 Rapid Introduction of Off-the-Shelf BIPV Glass Products   
Acronyms and Abbreviations Used In this Report   
About the Author   

List of Exhibits
Exhibit E-1: Firms to Watch for In BIPV Glass Development   
Exhibit E-2: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building ($ Millions)   
Exhibit 2-1: Roadmap of Product Evolution from BAPV to BIPV   
Exhibit 2-2: Advantages and Limitations of c-Si for BIPV glass   
Exhibit 2-3: Key BIPV Glass Technologies   
Exhibit 3-1: BIPV Subsidies and Their Impact   
Exhibit 3-2: BIPV glass in Various Applications and its Opportunities   
Exhibit 3-3: Expected Future Trends for BIPV glass in China   
Exhibit 4-1: Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide Construction by Type of Building   
Exhibit 4-2: Eight-Year Forecast of Worldwide  Construction Glass by Type of Building   
Exhibit 4-3: Penetration of BIPV glass (%)  
Exhibit 4-4: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)   
Exhibit 4-5:  Eight-Year Forecast of Efficiency of PV Panels   
Exhibit 4-6: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MW)   
Exhibit 4-7: Average Cost Per Watt by Type of PV Materials ($)   
Exhibit 4-8: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building ($ Millions)   
Exhibit 4-9: Type of products share in MW (%)   
Exhibit 4-10: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product   ($ Millions)   
Exhibit 4-11: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)   
Exhibit 4-12: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MW)   
Exhibit 4-13: Technology/Material share in MW (%)   
Exhibit 4-14: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)   
Exhibit 4-15: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Material ($ Millions)   
Exhibit 4-16: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)   
Exhibit 4-17: Country/Region Share in MW (%)   
Exhibit 4-18: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Country/Region ($ Millions)   
Exhibit 4-19: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MW)   
Exhibit 4-20: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)   

New NanoMarkets Report Projects $2.7 billion ($US) BIPV Glass Market in 2019

Glen Allen, Virginia:  The market for building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) glass will grow from $823 million ($US) in 2014 to $2.7 billion in 2019 according to a newly released report by industry analyst firm NanoMarkets.  The report also states that BIPV glass shipped will surpass 7.6 million square meters by 2021. This report is the latest study from this firm, which has been covering the BIPV market since 2007
 
 
About the report:
 
NanoMarkets latest report on BIPV glass includes a detailed eight-year market forecast with breakouts by type of building and PV material in both volume (MW and square meters shipped) and market value ($ Millions) terms.  Building types covered and forecast by this report include zero-energy buildings, prestige buildings, other commercial and government buildings, residential buildings and industrial buildings.  And there are also market projections in the report for BIPV glass shipments in major national and regional markets.
 
The report also analyzes the BIPV glass strategies of leading glass and PV firms as well the community of firms whose core business is specifically developing and installing BIPV glass.   Among the firms covered in this report are:
 
  • AGC
  • Ascent Solar
  • Belectric
  • DuPont
  • Eclipsall
  • BGT Bischoff Glastechnik
  • elQ
  • Exeger
  • First Solar
  • Flexcell
  • GE
  • Glass 2 Energy
  • Global Solar
  • Hanergy
  • Heliatek
  • JA Solar
  • Mage Sunovation
  • Manz
  • MGT
  • Onyx
  • Oxford Photovoltaics
  • Pilkington
  • Rheinzink
  • Seiksui Heim
  • Sharp
  • Singulus Technologies
  • Solar Frontier
  • Solaronix
  • Solibro
  • Stion
  • SunPower
  • Solarcentury
  • TULiPPS and
  • Union Energy Glass
 
Finally, this report also discusses how BIPV glass supply chain is evolving and how BIPV glass will be able to improve its image with key decision makers such as architects, who are sometimes skeptical of the BIPV glass concept.  In part this is about “playing up” the aesthetic advantage of solar glass (for example with tinted and colored products) and by incorporating additional smart features such as hybrid light/photovoltaic capability.
 
From the report:
 
The BIPV glass sector has been dominated by prestige buildings, which will account for 90 percent of BIPV glass revenues in 2014.  However, BIPV glass is a key enabling technology for zero net energy buildings which are expected to expand rapidly due to the growing number of mandates in both the US and EU.  For example, EU Directives demand zero energy capability for all buildings by 2021.  As a result, BIPV glass for zero net energy buildings will reach $1.1 billion by 2019 compared with $30 million today.
 
Thin-film PV, DSC and OPV are often touted as technologies that will revolutionize BIPV glass because of their light weight, flexibility and potentially low cost.  However, NanoMarkets contends that the poor business conditions that have beset the whole solar industry for the past thee years have set back the development of less conventional PV technologies.  As a result crystalline silicon will continue to dominate the BIPV glass sector until after 2019.  The only other solar material that is expected to do reasonably well in the BIPV glass sector during the forecasting period is CIGS, which will reach around $245 million in revenue by 2019.
 
For now BIPV glass remains mostly a niche consisting of highly customized solutions; constructed on site or near to the site.  Today, 90 percent of BIPV glass revenues come from customized projects.  However, by 2019 this share will have declined to 60 percent as semi-assembled BIPV glass products come onto the market that can be easily be integrated into building fabrics without specialized expertise.
 
About NanoMarkets:
 
NanoMarkets tracks and analyzes emerging markets in energy, electronics and other area created by developments in advanced materials. The firm is a recognized leader in industry analysis and forecasts of the BIPV sector and the PV sector more generally.
 
Visit http://www.nanomarkets.net for a full listing of NanoMarkets' reports and other services.
 
Contact: 
 
Robert Nolan 
NanoMarkets 
(804) 938-0030 

posted Mar 21, 2014

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