market reports

BIPV Glass Markets 2015-2022

In our view, BIPV overall is in a transition and must refine its messaging to an end-user base with shifting priorities. More than ever these products need to be sold, and technologically developed, with an emphasis on aesthetics and what can be called "smart" capabilities, creating more dimensions along which to compete such as color, transparency, and substrate conformability. Where we envision the next stage of "true" BIPV, and sooner rather than later, is in BIPV glass with truly multifunctional and monolithically integrated products. This future will rely heavily on thin-film, OPV, and DSC technologies with the promise of lower-cost fabrication to reduce overall costs. We also anticipate a reshaping of manufacturing strategies and supply chains to develop and deliver these products, building on partnerships already been forged between alternative PV materials companies and big glass companies.

This report presents the latest trends in BIPV glass, analyzing the evolution of the technology and markets over the next eight years. We discuss the different types of BIPV glass technology, and the latest developments in PV technologies, substrates, and encapsulation. We also examine the strategies of the major BIPV glass companies and their key BIPV partners, and provide some thoughts as to potential changes in supply chains to improve odds of success.

Companies discussed in this report include:  Asahi Glass, Belectric, BGT, Dyesol, Exeger, Glass2energy, Hanergy, Heliatek, IQ Glass, Issol, Prism Solar, Sunpreme, Lumos, Manz, Mitsubishi,NSG/Pilkington, Onyx Solar, Oxford PV, PolySolar, Romag, Solar Frontier, Solaria, Strathcona Energy, SwissInso, TULiPPs and others.

Executive Summary    
E.1 Changes in BIPV Glass: Moving Toward Monolithic Integration    
E.1.1 Monolithic Integration:  BIPV as a Smart Material    
E.1.2 BIPV Beyond c-Si    
E.2 Where  and How BIPV Glass Markets Will Expand    
E.2.1 Continued Support for Zero-Energy Buildings    
E.2.2 BIPV in the City    
E.3 Market Challenges for BIPV glass    
E.3.1 BIPV Raises Cost Concerns    
E.3.2 Installation: Still Mostly Prestige    
E.4 Companies to Watch in BIPV Glass Development    
E.4.1 Are Big Glass Companies Still Committed to BIPV?    
E.5 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts for BIPV Glass    
 
Chapter One: Introduction    
1.1 Background to this Report    
1.1.1 The Evolution of BIPV: Towards Monolithic    
1.2 Changing Strategies for BIPV Glass    
1.2.1 Technology Decisions    
1.2.2 Making BIPV Resonate with Customers    
1.2.3 Building a BIPV Business Ecosystem    
1.3 Objectives and Scope of this Report    
1.4 Methodology of this Report    
1.5 Plan of this Report    
 
Chapter Two Technology Trends in BIPV    
2.1 Silicon-based BIPV: Small Improvements That Matter    
2.1.1 Improvements in c-Si PV    
2.1.2 Examples of c-Si-based BIPV    
2.2 Thin-Film PV and BIPV: Stirring the Pot    
2.2.1 Thin-film a-Si    
2.2.2 Thin-film CIGS    
2.2.3 Thin-film CdTe    
2.3 OPV: BIPV as a Market-of-Choice    
2.4 DSC:  A Head Start, but Reason to Wait?    
2.4.1 Perovskites:  BIPV and the Future of DSC?    
2.5 Encapsulation Developments and their Importance for BIPV glass    
2.5.1 Encapsulation for CIGS    
2.5.2 Encapsulation for OPV and DSC    
2.6 The Role of Flexible Substrates in BIPV    
2.6.1 Challenges for Flexible Substrates    
2.6.2 Plastics and Foils    
2.6.3 BIPV  and Flexible Glass    
2.7 Key Points from This Chapter    
 
Chapter Three: Market Trends for BIPV Glass    
3.1 The Road to Monolithic Integration    
3.1.1 Example: Onyx Solar    
3.1.2 Multifunctional Glass and BIPV    
3.1.3 BIPV and Smart Windows    
3.1.4 Solliance: A Future Vision for BIPV Manufacturing    
3.1.5 Spray-on Solar    
3.2 Installation Trends    
3.2.1 Factors Shaping BIPV Standards    
3.2.2 Need for BIPV Design Tools    
3.3 Noteworthy New BIPV Installations    
3.3.1 White is the New Black    
3.3.2 Crafting Colored BIPV Panels    
3.3.3 Graz's "Smart District"    
3.3.4 Other BIPV Installation of Note    
3.4 Key Points from This Chapter    
 
Chapter Four: Market and Marketing Considerations for BIPV Glass    
4.1 How to Sell Next-Generation BIPV    
4.1.1 Can BIPV Still be Sold as Green Technology?    
4.1.2 Selling Strategies for BIPV in a New Green Era    
4.1.3 Selling BIPV Glass on Aesthetics and Design
5.3 The Importance of Local Presence:  Building a BIPV Supply Chain    
5.3.1 How Local BIPV Helps Manufacturers    
5.3.2 What a Successful BIPV Glass Supply Chain Will Look Like    
5.4 Key Points from This Chapter    
 
Chapter Five: Eight Year Forecasts for BIPV Glass    
5.1 Forecasting Methodology and Assumptions    
5.1.1 General Economic Assumptions    
5.1.2 Pricing Assumptions    
5.2 Eight-Year Forecasts of Demand in Key BIPV Glass Regions/Countries    
5.2.1 U.S.    
5.2.2 Europe    
5.2.3 Japan    
5.2.4 China    
5.3 Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Product Type    
5.4 Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Technology/Material    
5.5 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Substrate    
5.5 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building    
5.5.1 Prestige Office Buildings:  A Key Market for BIPV    
 
List of Figures and Exhibits
 
Exhibit E-1: BIPV Glass Applications and Opportunities    
Exhibit E-2: BIPV Market Scenarios    
Exhibit E-3: Companies Key to BIPV Glass Success    
Exhibit 1-1: The Four Stages of BIPV Market Evolution
Exhibit 2-1: c-Si based BIPV Glass Products    
Exhibit 3-1: BIPV Glass Applications and Opportunities    
Exhibit 4-1: Selling BIPV as a “Green Technology”    
Exhibit 4-2: Net-Zero-Energy Building Regulations
Exhibit 5-1: Overall PV Shipments and Share of BIPV Glass Products    
Exhibit 5-2: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Country/Region ($ Millions)    
Exhibit 5-3: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Product Type, % of MW Market Share    
Exhibit 5-4: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)    
Exhibit 5-5: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)    
Exhibit 5-6: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product ($ Millions)    
Exhibit 5-7: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Technology/Material Share (MW %)
Exhibit 5-8: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)    
Exhibit 5-9: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)    
Exhibit 5-10: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Material ($ Millions)    
Exhibit 5-11: Total BIPV Substrate and Encapsulation Revenue by BIPV Module Type    
Exhibit 5-12: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building ($ Millions)

BIPV Glass Markets 2015-2022

n-tech Research Forecasts BIPV Glass Market Rising to $3.5 billion by 2020

Glen Allen, VA: In a newly issued report, n-tech Research projects that the market for BIPV glass at just over $1 billion today will grow to $3.5 billion by 2020 and $6.3 billion by 2022. Details of the new report, "BIPV Glass Markets 2015-2022" are available at:  http://ntechresearch.com/market_reports/bipv-glass-markets-2015-2022

About the Report:

In our view, BIPV overall is in a transition and must refine its messaging to an end-user base with shifting priorities. More than ever these products need to be sold, and technologically developed, with an emphasis on aesthetics and what can be called "smart" capabilities, creating more dimensions along which to compete such as color, transparency, and substrate conformability.

Where we envision the next stage of "true" BIPV, and sooner rather than later, is in BIPV glass with truly multifunctional and monolithically integrated products. This future will rely heavily on thin-film, OPV, and DSC technologies with the promise of lower-cost fabrication to reduce overall costs. We also anticipate a reshaping of manufacturing strategies and supply chains to develop and deliver these products, building on partnerships already been forged between alternative PV materials companies and big glass companies.

This report presents the latest trends in BIPV glass, analyzing the evolution of the technology and markets over the next eight years. We discuss the different types of BIPV glass technology, and the latest developments in PV technologies, substrates, and encapsulation. We also examine the strategies of the major BIPV glass companies and their key BIPV partners, and provide some thoughts as to potential changes in supply chains to improve odds of success.

Companies discussed in this report include:  Asahi Glass, Belectric, BGT, Dyesol, Exeger, Glass2energy, Hanergy, Heliatek, IQ Glass, Issol, Prism Solar, Sunpreme, Lumos, Manz, Mitsubishi,NSG/Pilkington, Onyx Solar, Oxford PV, PolySolar, Romag, Solar Frontier, Solaria, Strathcona Energy, SwissInso, TULiPPs and others.

Highlights from the Report:

• The presence and influence of large glass companies (AGC, NSG/Pilkington, and BGT as examples) will only intensify, through aforementioned partnerships with PV companies as well as with building product firms and installers. While we hear conflicting reports about whether they are still skittish since the broader PV industry upheaval, our impression is that they do seem directly committed—though they may view "true" BIPV revenue opportunities as quite smaller and on a longer timeline than others believe.

• A central question for BIPV glass is whether key PV vendors (notably Heliatek in OPV, and Dyesol and Oxford in DSC) stay on target with planned production volumes around 2017-2018. There is much ado over the new wonder-material perovskite, but the storyline is the same: whether it too can achieve volume scales and deliver products to the market in a reasonable timeframe.

• We think selling BIPV glass as part of a "green" theme is broadly losing steam with increased scrutiny of regional and national PV policies. That said, two specific areas seem to be robust: zero-energy buildings, and highly urban areas. We see revenues for BIPV glass in zero-energy buildings surging past $800 million in 2018 and more than $2.5 billion by 2022.

• n-tech expects BIPV glass will unlock residential building demand in a more medium-term timeframe, approaching $200 million by 2018 and surpassing $1.3 billion by 2022.

About n-tech Research:

n-tech Research is the leading provider of market research and industry analysis for the advanced materials sector, with a special focus on the latest functional and smart materials. Visit http://www.ntechresearch.net for a full listing of the firm’s services.

Contact:

Robert Nolan
n-tech Research
(804) 938-0030
rob@ntechresearch.com

posted Nov 30, 2015

n-tech research  what's next in emerging technology 

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