BIPV Technologies and Markets, 2015-2022
This report provides guidance on the new economics of BIPV in a new business environment where demand patterns have changed and subsidies have begun to disappear. It shows how BIPV products can be classified into types based on intelligence and functionality and how each type fits into its own characteristic niche. Supply chain issues are prominently discussed.
The report explores the strategies of the leading firms in BIPV and considers how and why some of them survived the solar shakeout and others did not. It also discusses what new entrants into the BIPV space will look like and where there is room for start-ups.
Finally, the report includes detailed eight-year market forecasts with breakouts by type of BIPV product, region in which the panels will be sold, type of building in which they are installed, etc. Forecasts are both in volume and value terms.
E.1 The Rise of Integration Economics: More Value in a Solar Panel and What to Do with It
E.1.1 Why Integration Matters
E.2 BIPV Markets Will Expand
E.2.1 Continued Support for Zero-Energy Buildings
E.2.2 More Retrofits Means More BIPV
E.2.3 Urbanization and BIPV
E.3 Factors Retarding the Market for BIPV
E.3.1 Cost Concerns
E.3.2 Subsidy Concerns
E.4 Building the BIPV Supply Chain
E.4.1 Factors Influencing Selling and Distribution of BIPV
E.5 Companies to Watch in BIPV
E.5.1 BIPV and Big Glass
E.5.2 Other Firms in the BIPV Space
E.5.3 Construction Industry Contributions
E.6 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts for BIPV Technologies and Markets
1.1.1 How BIPV Products Have Evolved
1.1.2 Making the Case: How BIPV Can Resonate with Customers
1.1.3 The BIPV Supply Chain: Who, Why, and Where
1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of this Report
Chapter Two: Setting the Stage: How BIPV Product and Technologies are Evolving
2.1 Product Trends in BIPV: BIPV Product Types
2.1.1 Type I: Architect-enabled BIPV: Still Room for Innovation?
2.1.2 Type II: Building-attached PV: Current and Future Products
2.1.3 Type III: Early-stage BIPV: Shingles, Tiles, and Beyond
2.1.4 Type IV: Monolithic Integration: BIPV as a Smart Material
2.2 Key Points from This Chapter
Chapter Three: Trends in BIPV Technologies
3.1 Silicon-based BIPV: Small Improvements That Matter
3.1.1 Thinner Silicon
3.1.2 Bifacial Cells: Still Relevant for BIPV?
3.1.3 Examples of c-Si-based BIPV
3.2 Thin-Film PV and BIPV: Stirring the Pot
3.2.1 Thin-film a-Si
3.2.2 Thin-film CIGS
3.2.3 Thin-film CdTe
3.3 OPV and DSC: The Future of BIPV?
3.3.1 OPV: BIPV as the Go-To Market
3.4 DSC: A Head Start, but Reason to Wait?
3.4.1 Perovskites, the Future of DSC?
3.4.2 Hybrid Devices: The Future?
3.4.3 Companies Pushing DSC 2.0
3.5 N-tech’s Take: OPV and DSC on the Clock
3.6 Key Points from This Chapter
Chapter Four: Trends in BIPV Roofing and Glass
4.1 Substrate Trends
4.1.1 BIPV Roofs
4.1.2 BIPV Glass
4.1.3 The Role of Flexible Substrates in BIPV
4.1.4 Encapsulation Developments and their Importance for BIPV
4.2 Installation Trends
4.2.1 Shaping up BIPV Standards
4.2.2 Need for BIPV Design Tools
4.2.3 In Case of Fire...
4.2.4 Noteworthy New BIPV Installations
4.3 Notable University Research
4.3.1 SOPHIA Project Wraps Up
4.3.2 Demo Testbed for Lightweight BIPV Modules
4.3.3 Monolithic Laser-Structured Barrier for OPV
4.3.4 Semitransparent Tandem Thin-Film Cell for BIPV
4.3.5 Heat Transfer System for BIPV Façades
4.4 Key Points from This Chapter
Chapter Five: Current Market and Marketing Considerations for BIPV
5.1 How to Sell Next-Generation BIPV
5.1.1 To what Extent can BIPV still be Sold as Green Technology?
5.1.2 Selling BIPV on Aesthetics and Design
5.2 The Role of Policies in Promoting BIPV
5.2.1 Whatever Happened to Those Special Subsidies for BIPV?
5.3 The Importance of Local Presence for BIPV: Building a Supply Chain
5.3.1 Options for a BIPV Supply-Chain Strategy
5.3.2 What a Successful BIPV Supply Chain Could Look Like
5.4 Key Points from This Chapter
Chapter Six: Eight-year Forecasts for BIPV Markets
6.1 Forecasting Methodology and Assumptions
6.1.1 General Economic Assumptions
6.1.2 Pricing Assumptions
6.2 Eight-Year Forecasts of Demand in Key BIPV Markets: Regions and Countries
6.2.1 North America
6.2.3 Other European Markets
6.2.6 Other Asia
6.3 Eight-Year Forecast by Type of BIPV Product: From BAPV to Monolithic Integration
6.4 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV by Type of Substrate
6.4.2 Rigid Roofing
6.5 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV by Type of Building
6.5.1 Prestige Office Buildings
6.5.2 Government/Commercial Buildings
6.5.3 Luxury Residence
6.5.4 Zero-Energy Buildings
6.6 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV by Type of PV Technology
6.6.1 Crystalline Silicon
6.6.2 TFPV, DSC and OPV
6.7 Summary of Our BIPV Forecasts, by Product Segments
Acronyms and Abbreviations Used In this Report
About the Author
Exhibit E-1: BIPV Market Scenarios
Exhibit E-2: BIPV Interpretations Across the Supply Chain
Exhibit E-3: Companies Key to BIPV Success
Exhibit E-4: Summary of BIPV Market by Type of Product ($ Millions)
Exhibit 2-1: Examples of Type III BIPV Products
Exhibit 4-1: Recent BIPV Pilot Projects for OPV
Exhibit 4-2: BIPV Gass in Various Applications and its Opportunities
Exhibit 5-1: Selling BIPV as a “Green Technology”
Exhibit 5-2: Regional BIPV-Friendly Policies
Exhibit 5-3: Net-Zero-Energy Building Regulations
Exhibit 6-1: Overall PV Shipments and Share of BIPV Products
Exhibit 6-2: BIPV Market by Region
Exhibit 6-3: BIPV Roofing Market by Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-4: BIPV Walling Market by Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-5: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Country/Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-6: Eight-Year Forecast by Type of BIPV Product, in Revenue ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-7: Eight-Year Forecast by Type of BIPV Product, by MW Shipped (MW)
Exhibit 6-8: Eight-Year Forecast by Type of BIPV Product, by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)
Exhibit 6-9: Total BIPV Substrate and Encapsulation Revenue by BIPV Module Type
Exhibit 6-10: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Product Type, % of MW Market Share
Exhibit 6-11: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-12: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)
Exhibit 6-13: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)
Exhibit 6-14: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Technology/Material Share (MW %)
Exhibit 6-15: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)
Exhibit 6-16: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)
Exhibit 6-17: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Material ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-18: Percent share of Roofing Products in Overall Roofing Market
Exhibit 6-19: Flexible BIPV Roofing Market by Type of PV Technology Used (%)
Exhibit 6-20: Flexible BIPV Roofing Market Revenue by Type of PV Technology Used ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-21: BIPV Market Share by End-user Segments
Exhibit 6-22: BIPV Roofing Market by End-user Segments in $ Millions
Exhibit 6-23: BIPV Walling Market by End-user Segments in $ Millions
Exhibit 6-24: Prestige Building Markets for BIPV ($ Million)
Exhibit 6-25: Government/Commercial Building Markets for BIPV ($ Million)
Exhibit 6-26: Luxury Residence Building Markets for BIPV ($ Million)
Exhibit 6-27: Zero-Energy Building Markets for BIPV ($ Million)
Exhibit 6-28: Crystalline Si in BIPV Market by Product Segment ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-29: Thin-film Si in BIPV Market by Product Segment ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-30: CIGS in BIPV Market by Product Segment ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-31: CdTe in BIPV Market by Product Segment ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-32: OPV/DSC in BIPV Market by Product Segment ($ Millions)
Exhibit 6-33: Eight-year forecast of BIPV Products by Product Type, in $M
Exhibit 6-34: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Products by Product Type, in MW
Exhibit 6-35: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Products by Product Type, in Millions Sq. Meters
BIPV Technologies and Markets, 2015-2022
Glen Allen, VA: In its latest new report, industry analyst firm n-tech Research predicts the total market for building-integrated solar photovoltaic (BIPV) systems will grow from about $3 billion in 2015 to over $9 billion in 2019, and surge to $26 billion by 2022, as more truly "integrated" BIPV products emerge that are monolithically integrated and multifunctional. Details of the new report, "BIPV Technologies and Markets, 2015-2022" including a downloadable excerpt, are available at: http://ntechresearch.com/market_reports/bipv-technologies-and-markets-2015-2022
About the Report:
This report identifies where money will be made in the BIPV space. Now that the great PV shakeout is over, technological progress is happening again, and PV subsidies are beginning to disappear. We show how BIPV products can be classified based on intelligence and functionality, how demand patterns have changed, and how these are changing marketing requirements and strategies. We include detailed eight-year market forecasts in both volume and value terms, with breakouts by type of BIPV product, end-market regions, type of buildings, etc.
Some of the dozens of companies discussed in this report include: AltPower, ASG, Belectric, BGT, BIPVCo, CertainTeed, CNBM/Avancis, Corning, Dow Solar, Dyesol, ertex solar, GAF, Hanergy, Heda Solar, Heliatek, Issol, Lumos, Mitsubishi Chemical, Next Energy, Onyx Solar, Orange Solar, Oxford Photovoltaics, Panasonic, Pilkington, Reckli, Saint Gobain, Solar Cloth, Solar Frontier, SolarCentury, Solaria, Solexel, Solinso, Solliance, SwissInso, and TULiPPS.
Highlights from the Report:
The long-anticipated evolution of BIPV, we think, is in truly monolithically integrated PV materials in which there is no clear distinction between the energy and roofing subsystems. Within this transition comes a new set of economic rules and guidelines, in which we see huge cost-saving opportunities. Primary among them is a shift in supply-chain thinking to create new BIPV business ecosystems that align PV and construction product firms (e.g. glass companies) with flatter and wider networks of local and regional partners.
We continue to hear that educating architects and installers is still very much needed so they appreciate that there is "life after rooftop PV racking." Building a strong network of downstream partners, ones who understand the value and messaging around BIPV, are as crucial today as ever.
An alternative straight-to-channel strategy leaves the architect out of the picture, surrendering some of BIPV's higher value to systems integrators, construction firms, installers and retailers, to encourage their buy-in. Not everyone will be able to go this route, however.
n-tech Research believes that BIPV's best chance to take off commercially is for vendors to emphasize aesthetics, and even the "smarts" of BIPV, and not just energy efficiency. This will allow them to tap substantial addressable markets, especially in the US, Germany, Japan and China, where the demand for solar panels is already large.
We see BIPV roofing as still the largest segment of this market throughout our forecast period, although we expect significant growth in both glass and walling applications. For the "true" BIPV leading into monolithic and multifunctional products, we see the real opportunities in the glass sector in particular, representing roughly $2.1 billion in shipments by 2018 and $6.3 billion by 2022.
About n-tech Research:
n-tech Research is the leading provider of market research and industry analysis for the advanced materials sector, with a special focus on the latest functional and smart materials. Visit http://www.ntechresearch.com for a full listing of the firm’s services.
posted Aug 04, 2015