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Market Opportunities for Silver Nanowire Transparent Conductors 2015-2022

This report analyzes the latest developments in Ag NW transparent conductor technologies, their advantages and drawbacks, and what we see as their potential adoption in various key end markets. The goal is to examine the advantages and latest improvements seen in Ag NWs, and apply that to opportunities in various and changing end applications -- and thus identify revenue potential. We also examine the trend of vertical integration that has especially emerged within the Ag NW sector, and the claimed advantages for each company's strategy therein.

This report also examines the products and companies that supply them to the major market segments; mainly with emphasis on the trio of main Ag NW TC companies and their supply chain. Companies discussed include:  Cambrios, Carestream, Cima, 3M, ClearJet, InkTec, Armor Group, Atmel, Blue Nano, CN Innovations, Heraeus, InTouch Technology, Innova Dynamics, SABIC, Seashell Technology, and Synaptics.

Chapter One: Introduction
1.1 Background to this Report
1.1.1 Recent R&D Focus
1.1.2 Business Development and Funding Continues
1.1.3 Competition and the Future
1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of this Report

Chapter Two: The Evolution of Ag NW Transparent Conductor Technology
2.1 Where Are Ag NWs Today?
2.2 Challenges with Ag NWs
2.2.1 Surface Roughness
2.2.2 Haze
2.2.3 Stability
2.3 Understanding the Ag NW Supply Chain
2.3.1 Benefits of Vertical Integration
2.4 What's New in Ag NW TC Research
2.4.1 Stretching the Limits
2.4.2 Different Sensor Design Patterns
2.4.3 Laser Patterning for Touch Panels
2.4.4 Switching Substrates
2.4.5 Is Copper an Option?
2.4.6 Ag NWs for InGaN LEDs
2.5 Surveying the TC Landscape: How Silver Nanowires Size Up
2.5.1 ITO: Protecting the Kingdom
2.5.2 Other TCOs: Little Progress to Report
2.5.3 Metal Mesh versus AG NWs
2.5.4 Carbon Nanotubes: Back on the Agenda
2.5.5 Conductive Polymers: Niche Now as Then
2.5.6 Fourth Generation TCs: Still Taking Shape
2.5.7 Graphene: The Next TC Cinderella Story
2.5.8 Metallic Films: The Perfect Material for Future Transparent Conductors?
2.6 Key Points from this Chapter

Chapter Three: Applications and Opportunities for Ag NW Transparent Conductors
3.1 Touch-Screen Sensors: The Foremost TC Opportunity
3.1.1 The Rise of Pro-Cap, and a Touch Sensor Revolution
3.1.2 Reasons to Replace ITO in Pro-Cap Displays
3.1.3 Analog-Resistive Touch Sensors and TCs
3.1.4 Opportunities for Ag NWs in Large Touch Panels
3.2 OLEDs: Large Markets – Potentially
3.2.1 Why OLEDs Want to Drop ITO for Alternative TCs
3.2.2 Opportunities for Ag NWs in OLED Displays
3.2.3 OLED TVs: Great Promise for TCs, But Problems Still to Solve
3.2.4 OLED Lighting: Also Seeking an Alternative TC
3.2.5 OLEDs and Alternative TCs: Ifs, Ands, and Buts
3.3 Conventional Flat-panel LCDs: Will ITO Ever be Dethroned?
3.3.1 A Note on Transparent Displays and the Transparent Conductor Market
3.3.2 Reality Check: Updating our Thinking on Flexible Electronics
3.3.3 E-paper: A Shrinking TC Market
3.4 Transparent Conductors in Solar Panels
3.4.1 Silver Nanowires and Thin-film PV
3.4.2 DSC and OPV: Looking Beyond Metal Oxides
3.5 Other Applications for Ag NW TCs
3.5.1 EMI/RFI Shielding
3.5.2 Anti-static Coatings
3.6 Key Points from this Chapter

Chapter Four: Key Suppliers of Ag NWs for Transparent Conductors
4.1 Cambrios (U.S.)
4.1.1 Competition, Customers, and Markets
4.1.2 How Cambrios Views Verticalization
4.1.3 Solar Panels and Armor
4.1.4 Financial Backing and Strategic Investors
4.2 Carestream (U.S.)
4.2.1 Why Carestream Says Verticalization Matters
4.2.2 Overcoming Haze
4.2.3 Bigger Sizes
4.2.4 Future Developments
4.3 Cima NanoTech (U.S.)
4.3.1 Ag Nanoparticles vs. Nanowires
4.3.2 Large Touchscreens and Applications
4.3.3 Competition
4.3.4 Touch and Other Applications
4.3.5 Funding
4.4 Other Silver Nanowire Suppliers
4.4.1 3M
4.4.2 ClearJet (Israel)
4.4.3 InkTec (Korea)
4.4.4 Innova Dynamics
4.4.5 Blue Nano (U.S.)
4.4.6 Saint-Gobain (France)
4.4.7 Seashell Technology (U.S.)

Chapter Five: Eight-Year Forecasts for Ag NW Transparent Conductors
5.1 Forecasting Methodology
5.1.1 Assumptions about Materials Utilization, Wastage and Yields
5.1.2 Cost Assumptions
5.1.3 General Economic Assumptions
5.2 Eight-Year Forecast of Ag NW Transparent Conductor Markets by Application
5.3 Eight-Year Forecasts of Ag NW TCs in the Touch-Screen Sensor Industry
5.4 Eight-Year Forecasts of Ag NW TCs in Flat-Panel Displays
5.5 Eight-Year Forecasts of Ag NW TCs in OLED Displays
5.6 Eight-Year Forecasts of Ag NW TCs in E-Paper Displays
5.7 Eight-Year Forecasts of Ag NW TCs in OLED Lighting
5.8 Eight-Year Forecast for Ag NW TCs in Solar Panels
5.9 Eight-Year Forecast of Ag NW TCs for EMI Shielding
5.10 Eight-Year Forecast of Ag NW TCs for Antistatic Coatings

Acronyms and Abbreviations Used In this Report
About the Author

List of Exhibits

Exhibit 2-1: NanoMarkets' Perspective and Expectations of Penetration of Selected Transparent Conductor Materials
Exhibit 2-2: Metal Meshes and Ag Nanowires as TCs    
Exhibit 3-1: Why the Touch Sensor Business is Attractive for Transparent Conductor Makers    
Exhibit 3-2: Long-Term Issues that ITO Faces in the OLED Market    
Exhibit 3-3: Flexibility of Transparent Conductive Material Types    
Exhibit 5-1 Summary of Forecasts for Silver Nanowire/Nanoparticle TCs by Application  ($ Millions, except for final line)    
Exhibit 5-2: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs for Touch-Screen Display Sensors    
Exhibit 5-3: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs for Flat-Panel Displays (LCD and PDP)    
Exhibit 5-4: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in OLED Displays (Excludes OLED Lighting)    
Exhibit 5-5: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in E-Paper Displays    
Exhibit 5-6: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in OLED Lighting    
Exhibit 5-7: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in Thin-Film Photovoltaics    
Exhibit 5-8: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in OPV/DSC    
Exhibit 5-9: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in Electromagnetic Shielding    
Exhibit 5-10: Forecast of Silver Nanowire TCs in Antistatic Coatings    

Market Opportunities for Silver Nanowire Transparent Conductors 2015-2022

Silver Nanowire Transparent Conductors to Become a $500 Million Market

Glen Allen, VA:  The market for silver nanowire (Ag NW) transparent conductor (TC) materials, currently riding the wave of applications for touch sensors, is projected to rise from $41 million in 2015 to about $158 million by 2018 and $485 million by 2022. Along the way, other end markets will catch up to provide good revenue opportunities for Ag NW TCs, most notably solar PV to OLED displays, according to industry analyst firm NanoMarkets. Details of the new report, "Market Opportunities for Silver Nanowire Transparent Conductors, 2015-2022" including a downloadable excerpt, are available at:  http://ntechresearch.com/market_reports/market-opportunities-for-silver-nanowire-transparent-conductors-2015-2022 
 
About the Report:
 
This report analyzes the latest developments in Ag NW transparent conductor technologies, their advantages and drawbacks, and what we see as their potential adoption in various key end markets. The goal is to examine the advantages and latest improvements seen in Ag NWs, and apply that to opportunities in various and changing end applications -- and thus identify revenue potential. We also examine the trend of vertical integration that has especially emerged within the Ag NW sector, and the claimed advantages for each company's strategy therein.
 
This report also examines the products and companies that supply them to the major market segments; mainly with emphasis on the trio of main Ag NW TC companies and their supply chain. Companies discussed include:  Cambrios, Carestream, Cima, 3M, ClearJet, InkTec, Armor Group, Atmel, Blue Nano, CN Innovations, Heraeus, InTouch Technology, Innova Dynamics, SABIC, Seashell Technology, and Synaptics.
 
Highlights from the Report:
 
•           Ag NW TCs appear to be on the verge on some interesting market transformations. In touch sensors, Ag NWs have established a presence in smaller format touch panels, but they are increasingly being improved to go up to larger touch panels and compete with metal mesh TCs (and vice versa, fending off metal meshes moving to smaller formats).
 
•           However, there are perceived limits to how far the touch display paradigm can be pushed, including the emergence of other interface designs such as gesture control. Thus, Ag NW companies are returning their attention to thin-film solar PV, as well as new markets for OLED displays and lighting where transparency and flexibility requirements would be checkmarks in Ag NWs' favor.
 
•           A number of ongoing issues are said to still plague Ag NW TCs, from haze to silver migration and environmental instability. Many of these descriptions are of an anecdotal nature, with rather a feel of competitive saber-rattling to them. Such criticisms also are not unique to any one group of TC technology suppliers -- including Ag NW suppliers' thoughts on competitive TC technologies.
 
•           Other metals besides silver, such as gold or copper, continue to be explored as nanowire/nanostructures for TCs but have yet to show real commercial promise. Other R&D is exploring other Ag NW capabilities such as stretchability and fatigue, as well as different electrode patterns. These have some relevance to flexible displays -- and even more importantly, in the context of wearable electronics.
 
About NanoMarkets:
 
NanoMarkets tracks and analyzes emerging markets in energy, electronics and other area created by developments in advanced materials. The firm is a recognized leader in industry analysis and forecasts of the BIPV sector and the PV sector more generally. Visit http://www.nanomarkets.net for a full listing of NanoMarkets' reports and other services.
 
Contact:
 
Robert Nolan
NanoMarkets
(804) 938-0030

posted Mar 16, 2015

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